I like the Braves to win this one on the road against the Mariners, after winning a low scoring 2-1 game last night. The Braves are sending Reynaldo Lopez (2-0 ; .72 ERA) to the hill who has a great start to his 2024 campaign. Lopez has thrown 4 straight outings allowing 1 ER or less and striking out at least 5 batters in each game he has started this season. He does not allow many hits, and has allowed 4 or less in each start. The Mariners are sending Luis Castillo (2-4 ; 4.15 ERA) to the hill who has had a really rocky start, but is building on it. He won back to back outings on the road against the Rangers and Rockies, however at home he is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 3+ runs in each home appearance this season. Castillo has poor splits against a handful of batters in this Braves lineup, and I look for them to get the Luis Castillo quick and early. The Braves are 8-3 on the road and the Mariners are 4-6 as a dog. Take the Braves ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Avs to win this game on the road and close out this series. Ever since Game 1 this series has completely flipped and the Jets have scored less in the last 3 games combined, than all of Game 1. The Avs offense has scored 5 or more goals in every game this series and the Winnipeg defense as well as their offense, have had no answer to it. Hellebuyck has faced 30+ shots every game and flood gates have been opened after the last 2 games, where he allowed 9 combined goals. The Jets may be one of the best defensive teams in hockey, but without being able to score a few goals it is nearly impossible to beat this Avalanche team. The Avs are 48-24 as a fav and the Jets are 3-7 as a home dog this season. Take the Avs ML here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Pacers and Bucks to go OVER 214 points tonight. Defense has been at the back burner between these two teams and I like this game to sail over this number. The Pacers have scored 115+ points in 3 out of 4 games this series and the Bucks defense has had a hard time figuring out this offense. The Pacers are shooting an eFG of 57.9% and are lethal from the mid range at 49%. The Pacers defense ranks 24th in defensive rating and the Bucks are shooting an eFG of 53% and are great at the FT line. Both teams go on runs and can score quick in transition, which will drive this total to go up up and up. Head to head, the total has gone OVER 4 of the L5 games. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Celtics to cover this spread at home and finish off this series against the Heat. Outside of Game 2, the Celtics have dominated every moment of this series. The Heat have been held to 94 points or less in 3 of the 4 games this series and I do not see it getting any better tonight, as they are facing a win or go home game on the road. The Celtics rank 1st in offensive rating shooting an eFG of 57.8% and are lethal behind the 3PT line shooting 38.8%. The Heat defense has struggled immensely at stopping this Celtics offense, especially under the rim. Defensively, the Celtics rank 2nd in defensive rating and have been shutting down this Heat offense. The Celtics are too fast and to versatile for this Heat team to keep up with. The Celtics are 11-3 ATS when the spread is -15.5 to -12.5. Lay the points with the Boston Celtics here. -Joey Tron